GBPUSD Analysis
| Performance after Tuesday | |||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum |
| Tuesday | 0.32% | 43.0 Pips | ▲ |
| Week to-date | -0.12% | -16.0 Pips | ▼ |
| July | 0.97% | 129.0 Pips | ▲ |
Upcoming key events (GMT+8)
| Time (GMT+8) | Currency | Impact | Event |
| Wed 08:30 PM | USD | HIGH | PPI excluding Food and Energy sectors (12-mth) |
| Thu 08:30 PM | USD | HIGH | Monthly Retail Trade (1-mth) |
What happened lately
The GBPUSD currency pair experienced a modest increase on Tuesday, rising by 0.32% to close at 1.33890. The trading session saw the pair reach a high of 1.34420 and a low of 1.33390, indicating a period of consolidation within this range.
The movement in the GBPUSD pair comes in the wake of recent U.S. economic data releases. On the previous trading day, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2026 was reported at -0.4%, significantly below the consensus expectation of -0.1% and down from the previous month’s 0.5%. Additionally, the CPI excluding food and energy sectors remained unchanged at 0%, falling short of the anticipated 0.2% and matching the prior month’s figure. These figures suggest a cooling in inflationary pressures in the U.S., which may have influenced the currency market dynamics.
Looking ahead, market participants will be closely monitoring upcoming U.S. economic events. Notably, the Producer Price Index (PPI) excluding food and energy sectors for the 12 months ending in July 2026 is scheduled for release on Wednesday at 20:30 GMT+8. This will be followed by the Monthly Retail Trade data for June 2026, set to be published on Thursday at the same time. Both events are categorized as having a high impact, potentially affecting the USD and, consequently, the GBPUSD pair.
Overall, the recent price action in the GBPUSD pair reflects a period of consolidation amid mixed U.S. inflation data. The market sentiment remains cautious as traders await further economic indicators that could provide more clarity on the direction of the U.S. economy and its impact on currency valuations.
What can we expect from GBPUSD today?
GBPUSD is showing a mixed daily outlook with a slight positive performance of 0.32% on Tuesday, closing at 1.33890. The pair is trading above the 9-day EMA, indicating a potential bullish bias in the short term.
📈 Bull Scenario A bullish scenario for GBPUSD could be triggered if the pair continues to trade above the daily pivot of 1.339. A sustained move higher could target the first resistance level at 1.3441. If momentum continues, the next resistance to watch would be at 1.3493, aligning with the rising stochastic indicator. | 📉 Bear Scenario On the downside, a bearish scenario may unfold if GBPUSD falls below the daily pivot of 1.339. A break below the first support level at 1.3338 could lead to further declines, with the next support level at 1.3287 being a key area to watch. This would suggest a continuation of the mixed weekly outlook. |
Key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 1.3544 |
| R2 | 1.3493 |
| R1 | 1.3441 |
| Daily Pivot | 1.339 |
| S1 | 1.3338 |
| S2 | 1.3287 |
| S3 | 1.3235 |
